Haven't seen JB's analysis but the thing about Table Limit is that he earned that negative number on an uncontested lead, which are by definition NOT taxing efforts.
If he can outrun the others into the first turn, that negative number or something close to it has a chance to reappear. Remember, Lukas had 2nd pick and drew right next to War Emblem. Lukas thinks TL can outrun WE to the first turn, otherwise he wouldn't have chosen that post. The question remains though, how far will TL go?
If he goes off at or over 15/1, I 'll have some win money on him. Same with Magic Weisner. War Emblem I will bet to win at 5/2. If he is shorter, I'll key him on top of exactas and trifectas.

MO