With genuine pace from quality animals for the first time and perhaps a tactics change I wouldn't be overly optimistic about a move forward. Everyone believes he has to move forward here second race of the year. Last time he was faced with a fast time and a stretch in steeper class he regressed. He's older and stronger now but hes moved up significantly in class for this race. The La.Derby in retrospect appears to have lacked quality. Though i still think down the road Scipion could be a decent animal. I think a 2 or 3 under the circumstances is much more more likely than a pair or move forward.

I think its gonna be a very good race.