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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: Spring 3yos (345 Views)
Posted by: DeathBredon (IP Logged)
Date: April 27, 2005 09:53PM

Though the public and press often overate the track bias concept, often KEE really does have a strong bias, though it can change in the wink of an eye and is often incorrectly diagnosed.

For instance, Thunder Gulch's Bluegrass fig was a toss out due to the very deep track and very slow pace. He "bounced back" nicely at CD and he paid about 25-1 at the Derby, I think.

Tommorrow, in the Ben Ali, Zito's horse will test my theory that, on 4/9, the rail was live but Zito's horse got hung wide and had no shot. Throw out that fig. Thus, the horse may return to form and win for fun. Remember, you heard it here first. :-)

Also, speed-on-the-rail biases (common for sloppy tracks) can really distort figures both for the advantaged and against disadvantaged. Recall Go for Gin getting hung wide on the first turn at Gulfstream on a speed/rail favoring track. Naturally, GFG's race and fig was horrible that day. But, at the Derby, he had it his way and ran back to his prior big numbers.

Remember, how a fig is earned is often just as important as what the fig itself.



Subject Written By Posted
Adding two, spring 3yos (602 Views) TGJB 04/26/2005 03:23PM
Spring 3yos (387 Views) BitPlayer 04/26/2005 04:10PM
Re: Spring 3yos (351 Views) TGJB 04/26/2005 04:18PM
Re: Spring 3yos (369 Views) HP 04/26/2005 04:34PM
Re: Spring 3yos (364 Views) richiebee 04/26/2005 04:57PM
Re: Spring 3yos (346 Views) TGJB 04/26/2005 05:00PM
Re: Spring 3yos (358 Views) JimP 04/26/2005 05:39PM
Re: Spring 3yos (372 Views) TGJB 04/26/2005 06:18PM
Re: Spring 3yos (400 Views) DeathBredon 04/26/2005 07:27PM
Re: Spring 3yos (361 Views) TGJB 04/26/2005 07:45PM
Re: Spring 3yos (405 Views) 04/26/2005 08:20PM
Re: Spring 3yos (403 Views) spa 04/26/2005 09:24PM
Re: Spring 3yos (378 Views) gvido 04/26/2005 10:06PM
Re: Spring 3yos (372 Views) RICH 04/26/2005 10:09PM
Re: Sham (389 Views) Campbreeze 04/27/2005 12:27AM
Re: Spring 3yos (436 Views) Bull 04/26/2005 10:10PM
Re: Spring 3yos (345 Views) DeathBredon 04/27/2005 09:53PM
Re: Spring 3yos (347 Views) TGJB 04/28/2005 12:14PM
Re: Spring 3yos (427 Views) DeathBredon 04/28/2005 08:59PM
Re: Spring 3yos (349 Views) Saddlecloth 04/28/2005 01:11PM
Re: Spring 3yos (395 Views) TGJB 04/28/2005 02:09PM
Re: Spring 3yos (386 Views) BitPlayer 04/28/2005 02:09PM
Re: Spring 3yos (390 Views) TGJB 04/28/2005 02:18PM
Re: Adding two, spring 3yos (419 Views) RICH 04/26/2005 10:02PM


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