ezgoer89 wrote:

> Now Spanish Chestnut is in... who will be up on the lead with
> Greely's Galaxy, Bellamy Road, and High Limit...

Unless he breaks poorly I would anticipate Spanish Chestnut winging on the lead, but don't ignore the work Going Wild just turned in. The press is distracted with Bellamania.


> forgotten solid High Fly waiting for them all to collapse and
> inhaling them before they field hits the quarter pole.

A possible result. Or if Bellamania is legit its possible his second challenge could come from High Fly with about 2 marks to go.

> Who's going to run him down?

Theres a few that will take third crack.

Now to the point. The DRF has come out and stated that the two turn variant Wood day was a "10". Thats very interesting. Lets do a little comparison with Don Six, who admittedly is a good horse. The Aqueduct track record at 6 marks is 1.07.2

Don six had never before tied a track record. He'd only come a second away from 3 year old bests at the distance. In his previous race at Aqueduct, (The Poumonok)-

(LATER: I lost track of the fact this race was on the INNERTUBE so the variant comparison is not relevant. I still think the little review sheds some light on the track speed Wood Day)

,Don Six ran a Negative 4.1 at six marks. The raw time was

.22 .44.4 1.08.4

He won by 2 lengths on a DRF 18 variant.

Wood Day in the 7 furlong Carter, Don Six ran the following fractions attemtping to pace for 7 marks:

21.2, 43.1, 1:07.2, 1:21

Essentially, Don Six tied the track record for 6 marks. (Whats very interesting is Medalist and Forest Danger were right there and get credit for essentially the same 1.07.2 fraction.) But back to Don Six, who wants to bet the difference between a 18 variant and a 10 variant is not 9 lengths at 4 marks and 8 lengths in track record time at 6 marks in a 7 furlong race?

Caveat, (DRF may have made the sprint variant lower. I am not sure of that.)

Essentially, we had four track records Wood Day. One in the Wood. Three in the Carter and don't forget how the SNW1X New York Bred Slow Rats moved:

22.73, 45.47, 1:10.51, 1:37.50

Smoooookkkkkin



Post Edited (05-02-05 09:31)