Re: AQUEDUCT: Just how fast was it Wood day? (359 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 02, 2005 07:32PM
gvido wrote:
> Chuck:
>
> You should know better than that. Events as someone
> equaling/close to a track record while racing at a difeerent
> distance happens quite often. In the Carter [7f] there was an
> extra wind aided 1/8th down the backstretch before they hit the
> 6f juncture.
>
> I thought you were smarter than that, obviously I was mistaken.
>
Some handicappers pay very close attention to internal fractions and they can reveal great information and betting angles at times. The head wind the quality April 9th Aqueduct runners faced doesn't look especially significant to some on the closing fractions. A 1.20.2 is smokin.
If a horse ran a faster six marks in a route than he had ever before in a six mark sprint and collapsed late beaten 14 lengths. All other varibles being equal, how would a handicapper evaluate his chances of running a similar six mark figure turning back next to a six furlong sprint?
If there was a wind affecting the track Wood day, can you be sure it affected the two turn part of the track the same way it affected the one turn part of it? In other words DRF split the variants: 08 for sprints, 10 for routes (factoring, among other conditional races, New York Bred Slow Rats and 10 mark form shifters.) Do you think they got it right?