Big Figure - Outside Bias - How to hancle? (596 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2005 09:03PM
I could have called this post/question, "How to handle Bandini in the Derby".
Here is the dillemna for me (and I guess a lot of us).
Let's the take the -3.25 as the figure and not question it. We have previously discussed the BlueGrass and debated it, but for this discussion, lets agree the figure is accurate. We all realize the figure is so much better than his Beyer because of all the ground loss on both turns.
However, most people (jerry included), have identified a bad rail at Keenland that day and as such, being outside was not bad.
So, we have a horse who ran a really big figure on T-Graph, because of ground loss, on a track that favored the outside paths that he ran on.
So how do you reconcile the two facts (ground loss vs outside bias) when you handicap the Derby?
What is everybody else doing?
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