Re: Big Figure - Outside Bias - How to hancle? (305 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2005 09:55PM
Tough call...no precise science to it. Sometimes a single path wide can benefit a horse far more than the lengths lost on wide.
My inclination would be to figure the comparative wide between High Limit and Bandini, factor Bandini's wide against high limit (no need its already in the figure) and then discount Bandinis margin by the number of lengths you think he benefitted by being wide. However benefitting lengths have to be calculated for the field. It was a nightmare race, there was more to the result than an anti rail bias. There was a speed bias as well on a slow track. Horrible Surface. They need to raze it.
Theres been some funky freakish results this year, especially in the final preps. Whoever interprets them accurately will have an advantage at the windows.
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