Re: JB - Do the results cause a revisit of previous figures? (413 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: May 10, 2005 06:36PM
Blood-- Two points-- one can use time and not use pars. I do cut races loose, but not nearly so much as TimeForm has to due to pace issues. Also, by adjusting the numbers at the end of the year (which I knew), they are in effect using pars-- they are starting from the assumption that horses as a group are not improving, and bringing the numbers back to par. I brought up a similar point a couple of months ago when I asked CH to find out whether Beyer was using pars at any point in the process-- if you are using them even as an overall modifier you will artificially create a situation where you don't ALLOW horses to be getting better. This was a point I made to Friedman in an exchange a few years ago on their board-- he said they were using pars and that made the figures comparable from year to year, I pointed out it did the opposite. Whether it was because of that or not, he said last year at the DRF Expo that they no longer used pars.
TGJB