I have Picking Winners and The Winning Horseplayer in front of me.

It's clear that Beyer changed the numeric rating he assigns a race given a final time of "X".

6F in 1:13 is a 64 in TWH and an 80 in PW.

7F in 126.1 is a 65 in TWH and an 80 PW.

Less clear are the pars he uses for determining the speed of the track and the final figure because one is for NY and one is SA. There is also the obvious complication of claiming prices slowly inflating over the time that elapsed between the two books.

If he has made changes to the final figures, it certainly appears to be less than the 16 points I guessed at earlier. The 16 points is just the change to the time chart. (beyerguy was right about that).

However in PW he says that 6F stakes for older males in NY for one season averaged 1:10. That's a 106 on the new scale.

In TWH (the later book) he says that stakes at SA had an average figure of 114.

The ALW races have a similar difference.

It's more or less impossible for me to tell exactly what has changed in his final figures and by how much.

Back to the 120s:

Here's a few others besides Ghostzapper from the last few years.

Candy Ride 123
Cajun Beat 120
Congaree 120
Medaglia d'Oro 120
Aldebaron 122
Shake You Down 121
Swept Overboard 122, 122
Kona Gold 123
Xtra Heat 120
Aptitude 123



Post Edited (05-31-05 19:53)