I think you have to look at In the Gold off the 1 turn race at Keenland where she ran a "2". Sure, she bounced in the Oaks, but like mentioned above, she is 0 for 5 in two turn races, 3 for 4 in one turn races, looks like the dam sire (Groovy) has more influence in her success at distances than her sire.

Round Pound looks to have a nice pattern, about 60% to pair up or move to a new top, off the T-Graph stats. Considering her top is a "3", she is very dangerous. Tough to assess the impact of the illness that kept her out of the Black-Eyed Susans, but off the 57 breezing workout, she looks to be fit.

Splendid Blended is tough to bet and tough to throw out. She looked over-rated early in her career before that "3" that she ran out of nowhere in December. Now, with 6 months of development, she could be faster. However, she has never been one turn and is returning in a Grade 1. The offset to that is that Drysdale is a pretty conservative trainer and for him to return her in a Grade 1, shows a lot of confidence. I will throw her out, but not be surprised if she beats me.

Shug's horse is a little slow, showing a top of "5" last time out, but could be interesting. Shug almost never has them cranked first time back and I would expect her to move forward.

Tough to read Seeking the Star. The "1" she ran two back at Keenland probably wins this. But she regressed 3 points in her next race, although she won again. Now, she stretches out to a mile. Inclined to think further regression, but she will be on the lead, saving ground, so is dangerous.

I think In the Gold is the best horse in the race, has a win at Belmont and has already won twice at the one turn mile distance. Expecting a big effort out of her. Will bet her to win and use in exacta boxes with Round Pound and Shug's horse.

As for odds, I thought In the Gold might be 2-1, along with Splendid Blended, but if the offshore odds are any indication, that is not correct. Splendid Blended is 9-5 on the matchup to finish ahead of In the Gold, so if that is any indication, SB will go off a solid favorite, maybe less than 2-1.

Good luck