3 Pairs, please...

Have been looking at the TG Patterns lately and questions/ observations keep arising. There is no disbelief on my part, just curiosity.

Looking at the TG Pattern of a Belmont Stakes entrant, Andromeda's Hero, I noticed that his TG Pattern predicts there is a 29% chance that he can post a new top:

376-- 29 37 17 16.

After looking at hundreds (not thousands) of patterns, I have noticed that most of them (not real scientific here) yield the grim prediction that there is less than a 10% chance that the animal will post a new top; AH's TG Pattern appeared at first glance to be rather strong. Add to the fact that the "back end"-- Off and the dreaded "X"-- combined to total only 33% (17% + 16%), this looked like one of the more potent patterns I had encountered in my meanderings.

Quite arbitrarily, I decided to look through the TGs I had on hand (the Ky Derby day recap, 3 days at AQ (3/30, 4/6, 4/13) and all the redboard room I could get before being shut down by the quota. I decided to look for patterns, and I knew there wouldn't be many, that fit the following profile: 20% or more chance of new top, less than 45% on the back end ("Off" + "X").

Here's what I found:

Early Double 3/30 AQ Dirt 3YO Feb/ April 171 32 35 23 10 Pair/Pair/Pair

Strategy 3/30 AQ Dirt 4YO Feb/ April 630 24 37 23 17 Pair/Pair/Pair
Runaway Eleanor " " " " " " " " " " "

Roxanne's Dancer 4/6 AQ Dirt 3YO Mar/May 237 31 36 20 12 Pair/Pair/Pair
Sightseek " " " " " " " " " " "

Exist 4/13 AQ Dirt 4YO Mar/May 701 23 37 24 15 Pair/Pair/Pair
Krisbequick
Runaway Eleanor
Guy Getaway


Sydsational 4/13 AQ Dirt 3YO Mar/May 129 27 36 19 18 Pair/Off/Pair

Indy Storm 5/7 CD Dirt 3YO Apr/June 294 32 34 19 16 Pair/Pair/Pair

Mighty Military 5/7 CD Turf 4YO Mar/Jul 199 20 51 22 8 Pair/ Pair/Pair

A to the Z 5/7 CD Turf 5up Mar/Jul 312 19 47 27 6 Pair/Pair/Pair

Mystcal Time 6/7 CRC Dirt 4YO May/ Jul 740 21 39 26 16 Pair/Pair/Pair

I got sloppy at the end. A to the Z actually missed the parameters by 1%, but he was a Pair/Pair/Pair. Like I said, not scientific, but I may look at these Pair/ Pair/Pair patterns more closely.

Gotta go now. Russell Crowe wants me to go out to the garage to see Ed Harris and his daughter.