Re: Causal Factors, David. Really. (988 Views)
Posted by:
Jason L. (IP Logged)
Date: June 04, 2002 12:13AM
Most Ragozin user do buy a racing form, from which most of this information can be determined. I don't think that anyone will dispute that JB provides more and better data, separate from his numbers. But I don't see why any of us would pay $25 or $30 for that info (which you can get much cheaper elsewhere). We are paying for the numbers.
Your example does not make a lot of sense. First the Ragozin Sheets do tell you how wide a horse was in his prior races. Second, knowing that Mach Uno was wide in earning his previous numbers has no bearing unless you were playing against him on the basis that he was going to run wide again. The number is the number. If you want to do a trip analysis for a future race, then you may add a point or two to a horse that is always wide, and that you expect to be wide again. However, in this case, you did not do that, thus looking at the numbers alone would have reached the same result.
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