Re: Belmont Stakes Day Figures (396 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: July 28, 2005 11:53AM
Jimbo,
It's an occupational hazard of not making your own figures. Only the figure makers (all of them) know which days/races were a problem and which were not.
The solution is for figure makers to highlight "suspect" days and races, but I believe there will be some resistance to that idea.
Cross checking figures is a partial solution. If various sources disagree, it at least raises a red flag to investigate further.
I am discovering a brand new problem with that though. For lack of a better term, I'll call it information overload/paralysis. I sometimes actually have 5 sets of figures (usually just 2 or 3) and would form an entirely different opinion on what the various fair odds should be depending on whose figures I am looking at. When you add in some of my other subjective views on these matters, I go straight into a handicapping coma. That's obviously not a solution I would recommend. :)
By the way, did you see what Beyer did with Lava Man?
He made one of his figures a 105 (I believe he broke the race out from the rest of the day because it came up so fast). When the horse came back to win by 8 in his last and ran super fast, he went back and changed the other one to a 116.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/28/2005 11:58AM by classhandicapper.
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