Re: Wind Adjustments? (544 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: November 29, 2005 05:55PM
"Using PH's performance in the BC as an example, as a result of her trip she did not have to deal with running into what I understood was a 15 m.p.h. headwind for that race, yet her figure was lowered by some amount to reflect a wind adjustment. My take is that, if anything, the adjustment to PH's number should have been upward, not downward, & that the only way an adjustment to CL's number based on the number of lengths CL finished behind PH would represent what actually happened would be coincidence. "
exactly.
assuming the wind adjustment made to the entire race was correct, the difference in performance level between CL and PH is probably less than the margin between them. in this case, CL should receive the full benefit of the wind adjustment. perhaps as you suggest PH should actually be penalized. however, one could envision disasterous results if a figure maker attempted to make wind adjustments for each horse individually. at the same time, one could envision disasterous results from not appreciating the fact that some horses may have been impacted postively and others negatively within the same race when it's time to assign a track variant for that individual race.