Re: ROTW (497 Views)
Posted by:
holdthedoor (IP Logged)
Date: January 15, 2006 11:20AM
This conversation about the CA figures is missing the point of the race.
You couldn't tell a thing about the CA figures based on the result of yesterday's race.
The Malibu Stakes was contested on one of the most speed favoring racetracks you will ever find. Horses like Greeley's Galaxy and Unbridled Energy had no chance that day. The issue was how close to their best form they might be and had they made any developmental progress from their early 3YO form to now. You couldn't tell a thing about that from the Malibu because of the bias and layoffs.
With any of the typical development it was pretty obvious that fairly solid 3YO stakes horses like UE and GG would be far past the limited allowance runners they were facing yesterday using anybody's figures or no figures at all.
The result didn't tell us a thing about the numbers. If anything, the fact that they didn't dominate the field given some of the trips tells us the CA horses are not all that bad or that UE and GG are not all that good yet.
The prices in the race reflected the uncertainty about their condition, not any doubts about speed figures or who would be best if these lightly race 3YOs showed up in top shape.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 01/15/2006 12:35PM by holdthedoor.
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