Lets say you dismiss the big figure and take it back a few points. Its still a fast race. As for the others that are faster:

1-Giacomo: 8 mo layoff (best paired .5)
2-High Limit: Never improved off of 2 yo top and an outside post today (best 1)
3-Wilco: Never improved off of 2yo top, ran it once since (best 2.75)
4-Dixie Meister: paired 3s and getting 2 pds, this would be the horse to fear off this list (best 3)

He may have 1 race in his last 8 good enough to win, but lets look at them. 1st 4 races marches steadily to the big number (-2), backs up in the derby (not the first to do that), bad start and backs up off 2 weeks rest (Preakness), 7 mo layoff and returns in a graded sprint where he splits a big field while running on the rail, then runs a much improved race in a route to run his 2nd best fig (2.75). 2 works since including a 4F bullet 2 days ago, this horse is on edge and should fire a good race today. I don't think he'll be 10-1, but at 7-1 or so he is worth a bet.

The fast horses all have question marks for the win and many others look too slow. GG and Dixie Meister on top of High Limit, Ulistnintome, and Giacomo. Good luck.