Re: KEENLAND SATURDAY (593 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 15, 2006 05:28PM
Chuckles_the_Clown2 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> big18741 Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Anyone else think Strong Contender beats up
> on
> > this field?
> >
>
> Will preface this by stating that I'm not looking
> at Thorofigs. That said, its hard to say what the
> betting angle is upon Strong Contender.
>
> His connections are very high upon him. Ward is a
> good horseman. They've had Monarchos and a
> Notebook colt whose name I have forgotten. I make
> him about 4th fastest upon back figures. In that
> regard Strong Contenders two efforts came upon
> very glib surfaces with low variants and they were
> single turn events. Now he's stepping up into
> company thats pretty serious about trying to make
> the Derby while this guy has been biding his
> time.
>
> I'm not a believer in the lightly raced horse for
> a number of reasons. To some extent I attribute
> this new approach to TGraph and others, "Save the
> horse, space his efforts, watch the bounce."
> Blasmphemy. Abject Blasphemy. If you don't have
> enough horse to run three times as a juvenile and
> three or four times as a 3YO BEFORE the Derby,
> then you my friend don't have enough horse period.
> Now, there are exceptions to that, but exceptions
> are not a modus operandi.
>
> Strong Contender is not at Hallandale any longer.
> Keeneland played fairly yesterday. Wire Jobbers
> looked good. Five wide looked good too. The track
> was not glib. This is his first effort vs. more
> accomplished horses and even in that he caught a
> fairly soft spot. Does anyone really think First
> Samurai and Bluegrass Cat are serious Derby
> horses? That said, a wager upon Strong Contender
> is a wager that he will be better going longer
> against tougher horses than he has faced
> sprinting.
>
> I don't think the Bluegrass was on this horse's
> agenda. I think he wanted a really soft spot in
> the Lane's End and missed it. He has been either
> mismanaged or gingerly managed to this point. It
> doesn't mean he can't win. I don't bet significant
> money on this track, but will you get 5-1 on
> Strong Contender? Probably not.
>
> The horse that I find interesting is Sinister
> Minister. This track can favor speed and that
> raceway at Golden Gate usually produces horses
> with a quick foot. Many times horses improve
> second start at two turns and that last effort,
> albeit in a short field, was not half bad. Cause
> to Believe is held in high regard by his
> connections and getting crushed in his last may
> not have been that bad a race. If it is a speed
> track, I'm gonna look for Sinister Minister to cut
> the heart out of Strong Contender and bury it at
> about the quarter pole.
>
> First Samurai the favorite to factor.
>
KaChing
Whose your daddy.
lol
Now the question is do they even send Blue Grass Cat and First Samurai?
Wait til Jerry makes a number on that race.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/15/2006 05:32PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.
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