xichibanx Wrote:
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> I will not touch this race but my gut says to play
> against Lost in the Fog and key Kelly's Landing.
> In reality, LITF will be hugely overbet
> considering his current form.
>

LITF hasn't won a race for 3YO and UP yet. He probably will some day, but hes looking more and more like a need the lead type. If you think he'll be leading after 2 furlongs he's probably more likely to stay on. If you think theres others to out quick him he appears to be a riskier bet. He's not facing sophomores any more. He's a good horse, if not quite in the same league as a horse like Silver Train. Don't think he can beat Sun King at 7 furlongs either.

Not sure whether its a wager race yet or not. Gonna check out some additional numbers tomorrow.