Re: Fresh Horses (602 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: June 04, 2006 12:14PM
NoCarolinaTony Wrote:
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> CtC
>
> You never have a good word to say about anything.
> The horse ran a good race against who ever showed
> up to run. I doubt he would have scratched out if
> Yes Yes Yes ran in the race, and we know why Y Y Y
> scratched. If you owned LITF you would not be
> disappointed with the money earned or the
> management of the horse.
I don't have a good word to say about Odds On horses that run marginally better than weak competition. Lost in the Fog is not a good horse. He is a useful one. But they draped the Champion Sprinter ribbon around him and thats what irks me, so there won't be good things to say about that horse unless he truly steps up. Its June of his Four Year Old year, who expects him to?
>
> Add something about handicapping sheets, or your
> pedigree analysis versus citicism of
> trainers,jockeys,owners (which seems to be all you
> get into). Do you even buy sheets or do you just
> look at them on the red board?
Passed that race with Yes, Yes, Yes opting out for whatever reason. Sheets are important but are only a consideration. Maybe the most important consideration, but having learned long ago that sheets, figures, numbers, whatever you want to call them are only a piece of the puzzle, who is going to belabor them? I look at sheets, especially redboard here early in the year getting a handle on developing three year olds. Certainly don't have to look at the sheet of Lost in the Fog at this point to know he is a six furlong front end specialist that can run a decent race if the fractions don't get above his head.
He beat very little yesterday and didn't look very good doing it. Unless you think Kelly's Landing ran up to last years Aristides. It just wasnt the time to wager against. Granted he carried more weight, but that is factored. Not really interested in talking about the time on that race which is very difficult to ascertain by the poor quality card and results. Joint Effort's race excepted.
When he runs in races like the Carter and Forego and DeFrancis Dash we can discuss his great victories, until then hes been the favorite in every single one of his carefully managed races and he should be a target for every knowledgeable handicapper.
Still, its aggravating for a decent horse to be popularly acclaimed as a great one. Maybe we should just bide our time and put up with another "managed" winning streak until the time when they enter him with the heavy heads again.
We'll beat him good then and dance another victory jig, with toasts of English Stout to our good fortune, upon his exhausted carcass.
To cash well you have to have horse enemies. Lost in the Fog is an enemy of the big cash. Just as Barbaro was.
Show no mercy to the horse enemies.