Travers Rundown (888 Views)
Posted by:
curly (IP Logged)
Date: August 25, 2006 07:16PM
HesAnOldSalt - Paired up his top and has developed finally from those 4s as a 2yo. Last time he paired top efforts it took several races to get back into top form. Il expect a slight regression off the pair and toss going the 1 and 1/4.
Minister's Bid - Dont really like horses running too fast too early but has run big numbers. That last 3 was in the slop so as long as its fast out there tommorow id say he comes back to a 0-2 effort. Must use underneath.
Dr Pleasure - Kinda like this one. After those 77days off he came back to his 2yo top which was good. And then paired again running in the slop. To me his best chance to move forward was last time out but has never run the slop before so i'll give em another try to bust through a new top (hopefully several points)on a fast track.
High Cotton - Has 7 weeks off the top effort and at best i say he pairs. Has a good chance to go back though several points. Kinda ify on him so i would use him lightly below.
Bernardini - Horse is a monster and hasn't shown anything wrong yet. Raced big in the slop last out and has 28 days off and races 2nd time off the short layoff. Trainer profile doesnt show a good percentage of horses that pair 2nd off the layoff so...I think he can race another top lets say neg 3.25?
Kip Deville - I think I could throw Marcus on my back and we can run this race and beat this animal. haha way too slow to be in here.
Bluegrass Cat - Has been bery consistent but is coming off two top efforts. Only has 20 days off now and i would def say he will regress a couple points. Looks like a good race for the owners though cause this is a short field with a a few slow horses..the horse should be able to get about 3rd place or so and with the million dollar purse thats still a nice payday....for them. Il use lightly just like high cotton.
Break down - This race kinda reminds me of the pacific classic.. looks like we can key the fastest horse Bernardini and still get nice prices for the ex/tri and supers. Il key Bernardini and play dr plesure and ministers bid for second in the exacta.. then part key the tri and super with those two in second then for third and forth (super) those two along with bg cat and high cotton. Good luck !!
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