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Re: Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (602 Views)
Posted by: bobphilo (IP Logged)
Date: October 11, 2006 10:40PM
Chuckles_the_Clown2 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
>
> Theres only one way to win at this game. Beat
> vulnerable low odds horses. It really is that
> simple. I've been very patient waiting for the
> right race to oppose Bernardini and as stated
> I'll be in the "Beat Bernardini" line.
Not quite Chuckles. The way to beat this game is to bet horses who's chances of winning are better than their odds. That can include some solid favorites. Sometimes being so eager to beat low priced horses can make people see vulnerabilities that are only in the mind of the bettor. Betting against horses like Bernardini is the best way to lose your money. The thing about looking for something too hard is that you start seeing it when it's not there.
Let's see, his JC gold Cup win was against a small field. Have you considered that the reason Bernardini faced such a small field was that he scared them all off? Last month the knock was that he's getting headstrong and won't rate. Well, he disproved that one in the GC. Now it's because he'll be facing older horses. Do you think that some older horse who is slower than him is going to come to him in the race and say "Hey, I'm older than you, just look at my teeth" and he will decide, to run a poor race. When he looked Wanderin Boy in the eye it was the older horse who blinked. Good 3YO's beat slower older horses all the time in the fall.
It's amazing how creative one can be when looking for something that just isn't there.
Bob
Bob
Urban Legend, Urban Myth Take Your Pick (1021 Views)
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Silver Charm |
10/11/2006 03:50PM |
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