Re: 2007 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (538 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: March 24, 2007 07:02PM
very interesting post richie
For now, I'm leaning towards tossing all Poly surface results, with the exception of todays Lanes End. But speaking of poly Lanes End winners. Remember last years winner and what became of him?
richiebee Wrote:
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> This will be the first year that this Grade I
> event will be contested over the
> Keeneland Karpet. To me, lots of implications for
> trainers/owners and Derby
> handicappers.
>
> a) If you are an owner trainer who has a solid
> Derby contender who has not run
> previously on synthetic, would you be inclined or
> disinclined to run over a
> synthetic surface prepping for the Derby?
>
> b) If you are a handicapper, would you forgive a
> poor run over a synthetic
> surface for a Derby contender who had previously
> showed good dirt form?
>
> c) What happens if an unheralded Derby contender
> (non stake winner, NW2LT,
> NW3LT, etc) runs a huge race to win the Blue
> Grass. Is this an improving horse
> or just a horse that loved the carpet, or both?
>
> d) In general how to handle an absolute boom or
> bust performance in the BG.
>
> e) Curious as to how many animals of all ages came
> out of a Keeneland race last
> fall to win a dirt race at the fall Churchill
> meet. A miniscule sample, but if
> the percentage of next out winners was high, I
> might be more likely to allow a
> good or bad BG to enter my thinking.
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