Re: BC Rail (444 Views)
Posted by:
fkach (IP Logged)
Date: April 20, 2007 09:59AM
This issue would get us into a much more complicated conversation in that whoever is making the speed figures may or may not be interpreting the results the same way as other handicappers. That "could" impact the figures assigned to the winners and others.
IMO, by definition, a favorable path bias will cause those that race on it to run faster than they would have on the more neutral paths that day all else being equal (and vice versa). That would generally lead to some tops assuming a few of the winners performed near their peak form and raced on the favorable path.
However, we will get into all sorts of definitional and subjective issues if we discuss this further.
IMO, horses that raced on the rail on BC day performed better than those in the outside paths based on my view of their "relative abilities" going in and based on my view of how they performed coming out of those races. That analysis is not limited just to speed figures because of my first point.