Chuckles_the_Clown2 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> NoCarolinaTony Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Hey Ctc,
> >
> > After Dominicano's Bullet Work today at CD, can
> I
> > get some of the 125-1 action you are proposing?
> >
> > NC Tony
>
> A fast horse should be able to shade a minute
> flat. I told you that he had some semblance of
> speed. He's an El Corredor after all. Hes Super
> Testacular!!! But, damn he left his Derby on the
> training track. I'm sorry Tony, tough break. Post
> work odds reassessment. Dominican 150-1.

Does that make the 1:01:+ workout for Tueflesberg a tad slow, indicating a slow horse? Want to book my bet?

The problem with saying anything on this board is simple fundemental value betting as the opportunity arises. To say I am betting so and so right now without having live odds is rediculous tobe quite honest. Sure you have an opinion going in, I thought Barbaro was the best horse last year, but thought the betting public would make him 5/2 or 3-1 range. Never thinking 6-1 was possible (my assessment). Also always knew that Keenland runners who threw clunkers on the old surface had run well in the derby (Invisible Ink, Closing Argument, Lion Heart,Proud Citizen). Anyway, it's all about being adaptable and finding value.

You think Tberg is value, as you and I tought Sin Min might be value last year, but at 9.7-1 Sin Min was an underlay, that day as compared to Barbaro that day.So even though I don't owe you a damn explanation about anything I thought I might teach you a little about value handicapping since you apparently are hell bent in trying to make me look bad.

Handicapping is about adapting and finding value that day.

Right now I would say Domincan might be good value, but they still have not drawn PP's and set ML odds. But he has proven he can run on Dirt and not just a poly horse, and he looked awsome according to my clocker at CD. Do you have one btw? At those odds you are proposing, I'm willing to put some money up are you?

NC Tony


>
> NoCarolinaTony wrote:
>
> >Kinda Like I did last year on Barbaro @ 6-1. But
> I liked BG Cat to finish in the >$ too at those
> odds.
>
> >NC Tony
>
> NoCarolinaTony posted:
>
> http://www.thorograph.com/phorum/read.php?1,28258,
> 28259#msg-28259
>
> http://www.thorograph.com/phorum/read.php?1,28450,
> 28570#msg-28570
>
> I lost to Barbaro twice, but kicked his butt too.