Re: Preakness......rubber meets the road (594 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 12, 2007 11:41PM
1st Off, I did well upon that Belmont in 1989 and it counts as one of my long line of Belmont scores. I would have preferred that Le Voyager hang on for 2nd however and he almost did. I will inform you about my recent Belmont history so you know I don't purport to be perfect in the Triple Crown Races all the time. I just think that I'm the best all around Triple Crown handicapper I've ever run across and if asserting such makes it about me I can't do anything about that. It's speaking the truth as I perceive it and I believe my insight into the Triple Crown makes me uniquely competent to voice an educated opinion upon how the steeds stack up against one another in their respective years. It is my strength and I believe you can judge it upon my Triple Crown success.
Now the bad news to make you feel good,
2006 - Passed the Belmont, because the horses running in it were mundane
2005 - Cashed Afleet Alex and Andromedias in the Perfecta
2004 - Selected Birdstone as the Perfecta horse and had the others in but failed to consider Smarty getting beat and I lost.
2003 - Lost on Funny Cide
2002 - Lost on War Emblem
FYI thats 5 years, 4 Wagered Belmonts, 1 Cash. I'm only hitting at Supertrainer stats in recent Belmonts.....25%
I won't talk about Belmonts in the 90's. You wouldn't believe it anyway.
Back to the Topic at hand. Easy Goer was a superior horse. BC Day at Gulfstream was a speed strip and Easy Goer had trip problems and was the best horse though he didnt ring the pari mutual bell. Those things happen.
What you need to consider Dub is Sunday Silence's final race. It was a loss at 10 poles. Sunday Silence went out a loser and it steamed Charlie to no end. He had him cranked and he lost. By the Way Charlie thought Easy Goer was too much hoss at 12 panels. He stated so and of course he was correct. Sunday never would have taken Easygoer at 12 marks. Just wasnt in the cards.
The second thing you need to consider is the same horse that beat sent Sunday Silence home a loser also beat Easy Goer. Between them both they were 0-2 against him. Though Easy was working towards better things when he lost and was getting to him late in a short race. Coincidentally that horse was sired by Alydar too and familarity with that part of the game is another tool where I separate myself from the crowd. To them and guys like you its all a guess. Tough work guessing isnt it?
When you win its not crowing, its a conclusion and thats the beauty of this game. We predict the future when we win this game and we generally don't have to wait months or years for that future and validation upon our insight. It doesnt hurt to perceive well or to insist upon good odds when that perception cannot be validated with science. It also doesnt hurt to know a good horse as early as its 2YO year.
Now lets win us a Preakness. My goal this year is the Trifecta in each Triple Crown event. a Trifecta Triple. I think its possible.
p.s. Easy went out a Grade I winner.
CtC