Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  2024 Kentucky Oaks/Derby Days Final Figures Churchill Downs May 3 & May 4, 2024 
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Re: Barra (877 Views)
Posted by: Bob Barry (IP Logged)
Date: August 28, 2002 05:07PM

Chris;

I will find the book and let you know what I think. I didn't really have a negative view on Schmidt (consistent, sturdy, great glove, great power) - I just didn't think his OBA was as strong as it is.

Does Bonds have a hole in his swing these days? I'd like to line up his stance from 1990 with his stance of today. My guess is that he has moved closer to the plate (the partial body armor helps), which allows him to put a good swing on almost anything over the plate. By crowding the plate he does not have to (defensively) slap the pitches on the outer part of the plate to left. The stuff that veers inside can be yanked foul because his swing is so quick.

This stance, plus his compact swing (as opposed to the longer, loopier swings of Schmidt and McGwire) goes a long way towards filling the high-and-tight & low-and-away holes that are common to most hitters. I'd guess that Schmidt's oba got better over time as he improved on laying off the low-and-away stuff. The high-and-tight stuff will always be a problem for the Schmidts and McGwires who need to extend their arms to generate the bulk of their power.

That said, all hitters have holes in their swings. But in the expanded baseball universe of today, the percentage of pitchers who are able to direct pitches to these holes with pace and movement has never been lower. In other words, a hitter's hole is not constant - it is related to who is throwing pitches towards that hole. And Barry Bonds will face Johnson and Schilling only about half as often as Willie Mays had to face Spahn and Sain.

If opposing managers and pitchers were not so careful in pitching to Bonds, he would win the Triple Crown in a gallop.

Regarding your ps, that is a huge split between ba and oba for Schmidt ... wow. As for Rose, the oba does not surprise. He got pitched to because he was not a power threat and he had all those monsters hitting behind him. But Rose beings me to another subject (sorry, this is dragging on I know).

I think this discussion on baseball stats is an interesting companion piece to the Jockey ROI discussion that is ongoing - is there value in these stats?

While Rose's lifetime oba is not that great for a leadoff hitter (I'd guess Rickey's is 40 or 50 points higher), and though he was an average fielder in any of the positions he played, he is still one of the great winners in the history of the game. Yes, he was on good and great teams, but he also had incredible intangibles - competitiveness, desire, smarts - and mostly (for lack of a better word) "heart".

The reason I don't really subscribe fully to the Bill James view on things is that he wants to be able to measure everything. But certain things defy measurement. Ted Williams and Bill James don't think swinging at balls is a good idea, yet Yogi Berra and Roberto Clemente are two bad ball hitters that went all the way to Cooperstown.

But I digress. What made Rose a Rose are his intangibles. Two moments that define Pete Rose for me both happened - not coincidentially - in the 1980 World Series. The Royals were the better team. But Rose willed that Phillies team to their only WS crown.

Moment "A". Foul pop along the dugout. Phillies catcher (Boone?) and first baseman Rose converge of the play. The catcher gets there first, closes his mitt prematurely, and the ball continues earthward. Rose, who never once stopped playing, crouches down and snatches the ball a few inches off the ground. The most amazing 2-3 play I have ever seen.

Moment "B". The Phillies are trailing in the Series and are in a tight game with Dennis Leonard (one of the top hard-throwing righthanders of the day). Leonard comes down and in, way in, with a fastball. Rose does not move an inch. The pitch smacks into his shin. Rose stares out at Leonard and sneers ... as if saying "Is that all you got?".

I hated the guy. He did not have a lot of talent. And, despite all of his great statistics, his greatest attributes were unmeasureable. What player today is capable of producing either "A" or "B"? Much less both. Statistics can be great. But sometimes greatness can only be seen or felt - not measured.

Bob



Subject Written By Posted
slow pace #'s (1475 Views) t nichols 08/21/2002 03:13AM
Re: slow pace #'s (771 Views) TGJB 08/21/2002 04:06PM
Compromised How? (962 Views) Mall 08/21/2002 07:29PM
Re: Compromised How? (834 Views) TGJB 08/21/2002 10:25PM
Re: Compromised How? (916 Views) David G. Patent 08/22/2002 01:27AM
Re: Compromised How? (877 Views) thomas 08/22/2002 02:40AM
Re: Compromised How? (814 Views) TGJB 08/22/2002 04:02PM
Re: Compromised How? (932 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 06:58PM
Re: Compromised How? (860 Views) TGJB 08/22/2002 08:12PM
Re: Compromised How? (907 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 08:28PM
Re: Compromised How? (945 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 08:42PM
Re: Compromised How? (904 Views) TGJB 08/22/2002 10:31PM
Re: Compromised How? (910 Views) Michael D. 08/22/2002 10:43PM
Re: Compromised How? (900 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 10:49PM
Re: Compromised How? (888 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 11:03PM
Re: Compromised How? (885 Views) TGJB 08/23/2002 03:59PM
Re: Compromised How? (812 Views) David Patent 08/23/2002 04:54PM
Re: Compromised How? (887 Views) HP 08/23/2002 04:58PM
Re: Compromised How? (868 Views) Alydar in California 08/23/2002 06:43PM
Re: Compromised How? (928 Views) Bob Barry 08/23/2002 07:20PM
Re: Compromised How? (896 Views) TGJB 08/23/2002 09:20PM
Power/Average (898 Views) derby1592 08/24/2002 01:55AM
Re: Power/Average (957 Views) Alydar in California 08/26/2002 05:57PM
Re: Power/Average (874 Views) Bob Barry 08/26/2002 10:44PM
Re: Power/Average (901 Views) Alydar in California 08/27/2002 01:18AM
Re: Hornsby (870 Views) BB 08/27/2002 02:26AM
Re: Hornsby (879 Views) Alydar in California 08/27/2002 05:33AM
Re: Hornsby (831 Views) Bob Barry 08/28/2002 08:56PM
Re: Hornsby (861 Views) Alydar in California 08/30/2002 03:49PM
Re: Hornsby (928 Views) Alydar in California 08/28/2002 09:18AM
Re: Power/Average (908 Views) derby1592 08/27/2002 01:32AM
Re: Barra (886 Views) BB 08/27/2002 02:47AM
Re: Barra (992 Views) derby1592 08/28/2002 03:35AM
Re: Barra (877 Views) Bob Barry 08/28/2002 05:07PM
Awe vs. Confidence (872 Views) derby1592 08/29/2002 01:58AM
How soon we forget: The Big Hurt (828 Views) Jurmala Berzins 08/29/2002 08:02AM
A book for sports fans who like numbers (896 Views) derby1592 08/26/2002 04:36AM
Re: A book for sports fans who like numbers (890 Views) Bob Barry 08/26/2002 04:25PM
Re: A book for sports fans who like numbers (870 Views) TGJB 08/26/2002 04:47PM
Re: Compromised How? (908 Views) HP 08/23/2002 06:01PM
Re: Compromised How? (1005 Views) Alydar in California 08/23/2002 07:29PM
Re: Compromised How? (790 Views) HP 08/23/2002 07:39PM
Re: Compromised How? (892 Views) TGJB 08/22/2002 03:52PM
Re: Compromised How? (788 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 08:50PM
Re: Compromised How? (919 Views) David Patent 08/22/2002 09:27PM
Re: Compromised How? (887 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 09:38PM
Re: Compromised How? (970 Views) Alydar in California 08/22/2002 10:20PM
Re: Compromised How? (828 Views) TGJB 08/23/2002 03:57PM
Re: Compromised How? (898 Views) Alydar in California 08/23/2002 06:55PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.