Re: Tom Fool (583 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: July 03, 2007 11:19PM
Looks like an unbettable race to me Michael. High Finance bounces off of all his tops, even smaller ones. Now he runs a negative 3.5. He could bounce to the moon.
As you stated in another thread, Commentator and four negative 5's were mostly earned against sub-par competition. Tough to bet against him with confidence based on number power, but he figures 4-5, so not much value in betting on him. (I might use 2 singles in the pick 4, Commentator and Any Given Saturday, if the other two races in the sequence look interesting, as I think Any Given Saturday is "death and taxes" in the Dwyer).
Rondo looks like he could move forward, but he has been well bet and looked good in his wins, so I don't think you get the price you would need on him. At the weights, he is 4 points slower than Commentator and 3 points slower than High Finance, and he probably goes off roughly the same odds as High Finance, maybe a little longer at about 4-1. He is most likely to "run his race", as I read his sheet, but "his race" is probably not enough.
Interesting race to watch though. Will Commentator stay on form this year and be a factor in the sprint races this summer/fall? Can High Finance put 2 races together for the first time? Can Rondo step up and compete against the big boys?
Should be interesting.
Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.