jimbo66 Wrote:
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> Looks like an unbettable race to me Michael. High
> Finance bounces off of all his tops, even smaller
> ones. Now he runs a negative 3.5. He could
> bounce to the moon.
>
> As you stated in another thread, Commentator and
> four negative 5's were mostly earned against
> sub-par competition. Tough to bet against him
> with confidence based on number power, but he
> figures 4-5, so not much value in betting on him.
> (I might use 2 singles in the pick 4, Commentator
> and Any Given Saturday, if the other two races in
> the sequence look interesting, as I think Any
> Given Saturday is "death and taxes" in the
> Dwyer).
>
> Rondo looks like he could move forward, but he has
> been well bet and looked good in his wins, so I
> don't think you get the price you would need on
> him. At the weights, he is 4 points slower than
> Commentator and 3 points slower than High Finance,
> and he probably goes off roughly the same odds as
> High Finance, maybe a little longer at about 4-1.
> He is most likely to "run his race", as I read his
> sheet, but "his race" is probably not enough.
>
> Interesting race to watch though. Will Commentator
> stay on form this year and be a factor in the
> sprint races this summer/fall? Can High Finance
> put 2 races together for the first time? Can
> Rondo step up and compete against the big boys?
>
> Should be interesting.


good points marcus, Jim. HF's move backwards off the negative '1' last year came on poly though. Considering he ran a '7.75' on the same surface this year, was it a bounce or just a switch to a surface he didn't like? but yes, I would feel more confident if he had more time coming into this one.