Re: Any Given Saturday wins on Wednesday (620 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: July 04, 2007 08:02AM
Firstly, I think the oddsmaker has misjudged the relative odds some. I'll be stunned if Anygivensaturday is not favored at somewhere in the 7-5 range.
That said, there are some other horses running fresh that could certainly move forward to win.
On lost ground alone, Anygivensaturday's marginal figure edge will be obviated. (He never has, so theres no reason to believe he will pop to save ground.) Short one turn race makes it all very intriguing. Nod to Nobiz on track affinity, which is not win endorsement just yet.
jimbo66 Wrote:
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> Too bad that Frankel is planning to scratch his
> horse in the Dwyer, which means the fastest horse,
> Any Given Saturday, will likely be 9-5 at best,
> instead of 5-2.
>
> No Biz Like Shobiz continues to be over-rated
> until proven otherwise. Still hasn't ran faster
> than he did breaking his maiden last year.
> Blinkers on, then off, first he will run in the
> Belmont, then he won't. Hopefully he is even
> money or 4-5 tomorrow.
>
> Sorry, but Shug's horse is also over-rated. Was
> life and death to beat a bunch of tin cans in the
> Peter Pan. Now he gets blinkers. His top is a 3,
> Any Given Saturday has a top of "0" and I think he
> has a good chance to run a new top off the
> freshening. THis horse got some pretty bad rides
> in the Tampa Derby and then again in the Wood,
> leading to him looking like a live longshot in the
> Derby. Unfortunately, Gomez gave him the same
> wide trip that Velazquez was giving him in his
> prior races. One more time for this guy at
> relatively short odds.
>
> I think this horse has the potential to step up
> and compete against the likes of Curlin and Street
> Sense this summer, where he WILL be a good price.
> Tomorrow's Dwyer is step 1.
>
> Any Given Saturday by 2, running a negative 1.