I'm not sure it's as close as you think, & I certainly have a different opinion on GA's chances, but whether or not it makes sense to bet her & what kind of bet to make will, as you suggest & is always the case, depend on the price. What I really like about your dope is the idea of keying on lightly raced 3 & 4 yr olds at big odds who have the most upside potential, as it the overall approach I plan to use as well on the big day. Wasn't it Yogi Berra who said that it's hard to cash on shots unless you bet on them?