Well the current odds for Essence of Dubai in Pool 3 is 15-1 and since he's not running the odds may stay around that area. To me he's an underlay in pool 3 and I'll likely pass. I also believe he will be overbet come derby day. He'll be the only horse to have run and won a Group 2 going 1 1/4 miles against a big field that in my opinion had some talented horses running. From here on out I believe as a rule Godolphin horses will get overbet especially after how well they performed in last years Breeders Cup. P.S. Do not discount Ibn Al Haitham. There's your Godolphin overlay for the Derby.
As for Johannesburg, I can't believe he's 9-2 right now in Pool 3. A big underlay. The Gladness Stakes in my opinion should not be considered an easy race for him to win. He'll be giving 7LBS to older horses and if he runs well look out. He just may do the impossible come Derby day on Class alone. With this years group it's possible. I don't believe Aidan O'Brien will send a short horse over here.