Re the Pick 4 combos you listed, I'm interested in how you made the selection of 4 (Tap The Admiral) and 6 (Tam's Terms). I could see those as posibilities in the race but above others. Can you expand on your thought process in selecting those two above other candidates in the race. For instance, let me state how I analyzed the race an then you can add your comments if you wish. I thought there were several horses in this race that were capable of something at the 2-3 level. I thought that the 4 level might be the best I could hope for with Tap The Admiral. After he hit the 0+ level, he bounced to 4. Since the 4 was about what he had established previously as his top level, I thought a repeat of that was likely the best he could get and he might be heading even farther off form. So I excluded him. You obviously saw it differently. Why? I liked the line on 3 (War Zone). He looked like he was certainly capable of the 2-3 level necessary to win the race. I included him. You didn't. Why? Number 5 (Trademark) certainly looked capable of the 2-3 level that I thought was necessary to win. I couldn't see leaving him out of the mix. You apparently did. Why?Number 7 (Finality) had hit the 3 level once and approached it in his last start. He looked like a strong possibility for moving forward to the 3 or possibly even lower level. I couldn't see leaving him out. You did. Why? Number 8 (Rouvres) had achieved the 3 level twice and appeared to be on the improve. I couldn't see leaving him out of the mix. You did. Why? Number 10 (Patrol) had been as low as the 2 level and hit the 3 level multiple times. His most recent race was a regression, so there definitely were some pattern questions with him. I was reluctant to leave him out of the mix. And I thought number 11 (rock Slide) might have the most promising line of all. Had been around the 1-2 level many times in his career and seemed to have a line headed back to that level. How did you exclude him? And then there was number 1 (Quest Star). He didn't have the numbers I was looking for but I was very impressed that he was coming out of the Bowling Green Handicap and we had already seen what others coming out of that race could do. I couldn't include him but he sure caused some concern.

In summary, I can't see how you decided to cut this field down to only 2 horses and why you selected number 4 over others, such as 11, 3, 5, 7, 8, 10, that appeared to me to have better figures. I'm still learning about the usage of your figures. I've had some decent success so far but I need to learn more. Any explanation you could add for this race would surely be helpful.

(Note: I didn't hit the Pick 4 because I couldn't go this deep in the race. And I left out the 5. In fact, I didn't play as many combos as you did because I thought this race in particular was so difficult to cull down to a playable number of horses. And before anyone points it out, I did notice that Tap The Admiral outran most of those that I listed above him. My question is about the selection process and approach, not who was right and who was wrong.)

Sorry for the lengthy post, but this appears to be a possibly instructive case study if anyone cares to enter the dialog.