Re: Pa. Derby (542 Views)
Date: October 08, 2003 08:35PM
TGJB,
I want you to understand that I don't come around here to just be a pain in the butt, critical, and disagreeable. It just seems that way. :-)
I'm going to redboard a little because I think it is appropriate.
I said in the past that I suspected you might be underrating the performance of Dynever and Soto in the WV Derby. At a minimum, I think you will agree that the sudden burst of rain made it difficult to calculate an accurate variant for that race given that they are also 3yos that are still improving etc...
Well, we all know that Beyer made that race really HUGE. 114
I think there is substantial evidence that Beyer overrated that race based on the subsequent performances of horses out of that race. (I'm an equal opportunity critic)
Perhaps the reality was somewhere in between both of your different and very wide subjective conclusions about the speed of that racetrack. It was a tough situation and entirely understandable how either, both, everyone could get it slightly wrong.
In any event, I think redboarding is useful in those tough figure situations. Now, whenever I see that 114, I will cross it out and put a 107 there and when I next buy your sheets I will speed that race up a bit. I will also be very comfortable I am right even though I suspect neither of you will admit it by changing the figure. :-)
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