Re: Pa. Derby (622 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: October 09, 2003 12:33PM
Good of you to take the time to tell us which way you "lean" on the weight issue and what you now think (feel?) the figure for the Soto race should be, based on some of the horses running back once. Of course, when they run back again you may have to go back and change them again, as well as all their earlier figures, and then repeat the process each time they run. I'm getting tired just thinking about it, because in order for me to get my figures right I'm going to have to be constantly changing the figures for ALL the horses in ALL the races run in this country, which is, like, a lot.
Really, I'm sure everyone here was holding their breath waiting for this information. There a lot of guys here who have made their own figures, are very sophisticated handicappers, and have participated in some very sophisticated (and sometimes heated) discussion of variants etc., as I'm sure you have discovered by going through the archives. They looked at the sheets I posted for the two races in question, but I guess you're right, their eyes glazed over, just as yours did-- they certainly didn't see that the way the races fit together made it dead solid those figures were accurate NO MATTER what happened in the future (let alone in the short term). And the discussion I had with Michael about how the race fit in with the rest of the Philly day probably went whistling by their ears, just as it did yours-- so we've all been sitting here waiting for your opinion, because you are certainly a credible voice in the figure making field. After all, it's all subjective, right? And hey! This is America, and everyone is entitled to an opinion.
You have me in a quandry. I am not going to take the time to deal with the dozens (literally) of examples of bad assumptions and bad logic in your posts. But I don't like censoring people except if it becomes really necessary, so I tried to give you the last word in the hope that you would go away and stop filling my board with this noise. You haven't, so here's the warning shot-- if you want to post some opinions before a race go ahead, and I can stand the occasional general opinion. But if you keep posting this subjective stuff in bulk it is coming down.
TGJB