That would explain the lower winning percentage for him on BC day, but not the apparently lower level of performance achieved by most of his horses.

Having said that, maybe the day only appears to be as awful as it has been made out to be.

Sightseek - clearly ran an inexplicably poor race.

Peace Rules - flew through 6 furlongs on grass, and had nothing left. However, the 2 horses he flew with were not out of sight at the finish line, as he was.

Aldebaran - appears to have run 6/7ths of his normal race, he was picking them up at the end. It is not redboarding to say he needs more than 6 furlongs.

Midas Eyes - did not run his race.

Heat Haze, Megahertz and Tates Creek finished 3, 4, and 6 lengths behind what is apparently a very fine racehorse.

Medaglia d'Oro battled it out head-to-head with another very fine racehorse for over a mile and then got caught in deep stretch.

I get 2 really bad performances (Sightseek and Midas Eyes) and 1 who knows (Peace Rules). 1 very fine performance (Md'O) and 1 who did about what should have been reasonably expected at the wrong distance (Aldebaran, which of us didn't throw him out), and the 3 turf mares may have run close to what they have run all year.

Let's take a look at the figures on his horses when they come out and compare them to the prior figures and then see what we think.