B.C. Post-Mortem (1002 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: October 29, 2003 08:38PM
Okay, we're going to put the BC sheets with the numbers they ran in the ROTW. A few comments, and I'm sure there will be a lot of discussion.
One of the differences at BC is that since the incident with Dickenson and Bond at GP a few years ago the BC has gotten serious about trying to stop hanky panky-- they post guards at the barns. The guards vary in competence and conscientiousness (I heard some funny stories after Saturday, including one where they were watching the wrong horse-- the one they were supposed to be watching won a non-BC race. Some also got bored and went home Friday night, and one enraged trainer then went to the stewards and got them called back, but there was an hour in between). In any event, this was why I made the point in advance that certain guys might not be able to get the numbers they got at other times, and for the most part they didn't. But at the time I made the comments there was no way to know for certain how that was going to go, so all I could say was to watch how the horses of the magic trainers were running. Which makes it awful tough to make picks in advance.
Beyond that, I would point out that I am in a different position than you guys, given my position in the industry and that this is my board, and I'm not anonymous. I have to be somewhat circumspect in my comments.
Anyway, as I said in an earlier post, the only ticket I cashed was a future book bet on PP in the Classic. I do not, however, think my comments were that bad at all, given the point on the Eastern shippers, the comment that grass shippers had historically done much better (and did again), and the heads-up on the magicians, which made some short priced beaten favorites suspect. But the seminar is still available for free-- you guys can judge for yourself.
As for the figures run on the day, you guys will have your own thoughts, but I will say the Euro numbers held up extremely well (again). I will also say that I saw Ragozin's numbers on his site, and he blew this the same way he did the 01 Cup at Belmont-- the track was getting faster as the day progressed (and had done exactly the same thing the previous 2 days, so there is no excuse for missing it, other than that dogmatic one-track-speed-fits-all nonsense. I think you Ragozin guys will notice as those horses come back how few horses from the early races 10/23 to 10/25 got tops on Ragozin). There are also a bunch of ground loss mistakes (again, and I had 2 different people do it to check), and if I get the energy I might go through some of them.
TGJB