Re: Commissioner = Ice Box? (578 Views)
Posted by:
ajkreider (IP Logged)
Date: April 11, 2014 11:52PM
Well, Ice Box came from the clouds in the Florida and Kentucky Derbies. This doesn't seem to be Commissioner's forte. Both his wins came from at most 4 lengths back. He got dusted by the pace of Midnight Hawk and Wildcat Red.
The two previous Oaklawn preps had moderate early pace, and three of the four prior players are here again. As others have said, Commissioner looks like a grinder, as opposed to a deep closer, so a moderate pace helps.
Bayern is of course the wildcard. If he goes, and Strong Mandate and Tapiture with him, Commissioner is left with too much to do. If he cruises on the lead, Commissioner picks up the pieces.
Covello's Bayern/Commissioner play looks about right.
(BTW, I'm pretty sure Knock 'Em Flat is scratched)