Re: California Chrome now 1 to 3.5 to not win Derby (661 Views)
Posted by:
miff (IP Logged)
Date: April 22, 2014 11:10AM
Thread,
First mistake, no such thing as right or wrong, zero science.At best, you end up with reflective of performance or not reflective, quite subjective some of the time.
In measuring reflective or not reflective, you must at the very least, understand track speed, raw and adjusted,the different methodologies, the people who make figs and their differing style of creative license.For about 10 years, that's what I've done.Waiting for the next race to be run to affirm a certain fig, sometimes yes, but a horses whole body of work,no.
At the end of the day,when a speed/performance figure does not reconcile amongst the top fig makers, I have a pretty good idea why.
By the way, if someone suggested that 1 + 1 equalled 3 would you believe them? Me, I don't believe figures that say that either.
To each his own.