I'm glad you enjoyed my caricatures. IMO, There is a horse that is likely going to be an unexpected pace factor and will surprise most, especially Jerry Bailey, yet Randy Moss may mention him.

This guy broke his maiden in gate to wire fashion beating 8 @ DMR including Bond Holder. He has had trouble getting started on more than one occasion duping casual observers into believing he is a deep closer. He isn't, he is E/P.

Yes he has been out finished a couple of times, but only by one rival. Nakatani is a flexible veteran very adept at working out a trip in close quarters. I project him to be one of the "Get 1st Run Group." His path to CD is unconventional, and he dragged his owners and trainer kicking and screaming. Yet he has never done anything wrong except be unlucky enough to have had two bad starts/trips.

When you factor in his jump up switching surfaces to dirt voila a surprise dumb guys winner.