Bit,

You're correct of course and no one is suggesting that Bris numbers are anywhere close to T-Graph, anyone relying upon them is settling for fourth or fifth best. I've seen no evidence that the host is shy about number comparison, but then he knows its to his benefit. He makes comparisons to Rag numbers. Beyers have been discussed here. Can you just tell us what the Bris number was for the Florida Derby winner? These things are relative and the basis for discussion. For example The Cliff's Edge Sammy Davis number:

Beyer....84 (17 points below 2yr top)
Bris.....97 (6 points below 2yr top)
T-Graph..2,2(Equaling 2yr top)

(By the way if someone knows the Rag numbers for the Iroquois and Sammy Davis chime in)

Who do you think got it right? I'll comment on who got it right. Beyer was so far off the number its painful. Bris was off the best 2yo effort, but may have gotten closer to the actual Sammy Davis figure. T-graph had a reasonable 2yr top and a reasonable Sammy Davis and looks to have hit both nails squarely on the head.

We won't know the T-Graph number until its race time or thereafter, but I'll venture to guess its a more accurate number than the other fig makers and if you could back that bet you'd win it at a very high percentage.

CtC



Post Edited (03-16-04 20:28)