Fasteddie,

A couple of things to keep in mind regarding Eurosilver:

He has not been over 7f yet this year. Maybe he can be ready for 10f on the first Saturday in May off this type of preparation but, if so, Zito will have completely re-written the book on how to prep for the Derby. Those guys in Dubai have been taking a similar approach for years now and have yet to be successful but maybe they just haven't had the right horse yet and maybe Zito is a better trainer and maybe the "old" way is not necessarily the "best" way.

Euro has the classic, too-fast, too-early sheet that typically is not a good sign for a Derby horse. However, the pattern is very strong, which is definitely a counterpoint in his favor.

Euro is unlikely to be 15/1 on Derby day unless he runs up the track in the Blue Grass, which would not be a very positive sign. If he runs well in the Blue Grass (does not have to win) he will definitely be one of the favorites. It is hard for me to see how a Zito horse with Euro's record could be good value in the Derby, but I might be wrong.

This Derby is wide open and I have to believe their will be other horses that will be much better value than Euro on Derby day but we will have to wait and see what develops.

It should be an interesting lead up to the Derby again this year.

Chris