Re: Tapit and Smarty Jones (548 Views)
Posted by:
tildatoo (IP Logged)
Date: April 13, 2004 04:56PM
So if Smarty Jones went in 25 for the last quarter and 12 and 2 for the last eighth, that would mean his final eighth was faster than his penultimate one. Regardless of switching leads, looking tired, etc., the raw time says he wasn't slowing down. I have no idea whether he will "bounce" or not in the Kentucky Derby, but considering he has had the least grueling preparation, a nice progression distance-wise, and hasn't really bounced yet in his career, I am more than ready to take all gifts other bettors will give me on Derby Day. I have no idea whether he can get a mile and a quarter after being right up there with a grueling pace, but I am very willing to bet at anything above 3-1 odds that he will. The way his people are talking, this horse knows he's an alpha, and confidence has a lot to do with winning. I wish they would send him straight to Churchill, but I know that Keeneland is just about horse heaven, as far as grazing and open space go. I just don't like the training track there very much.