Okay, ya got me. When I get the time(God knows when that will be) I'll let you run the studies you want to run. I agree with everything except "coming off a new top at a grueling distance" being a negative- lots of derby winners have.
I would add that those interested in making their own line using their own handicapping and estimated ground loss should try tru-line. It will probably take at least half an hour to do the Derby, but when you are dealing with so many prices it helps to be able to qauntify your thinking.





TGJB