Re: Who is the Wise Guy Horse ??? (558 Views)
Posted by:
Silver Charm (IP Logged)
Date: April 21, 2004 08:07AM
Ten Most Wanted was the ultimate Wise Guy horse. Everywhere you went Derby Week he was the name that kept coming up. Probably the best example was a column written by DRF Ed-in-Chief Steve Christ titled "Ten Most Wanted Six More Likely". That sums it up.
Perfect Drift seemed to be more heavily played than 9-1 early on and his odds have "Drifted Up". You need to look at what he was in the morning line 15-1 or 20-1. And again winter racing at Turfway is not normally a conventional route to be less than double-digit odds in the Derby.
Also let me say that both of these horses are very good horses--no dispute there. But were they good bets on Derby Day at much lower odds than they should have been. Would you bet a horse who had lost half his value from what you thought was a reasonable morning line ??? Compare their numbers to the winners War Emblem and Funny Cide who went off at 20-1 and 13-1 respectively.
Finally there will be a Wise Guy Horse this Year MORE SO THAN EVER BEFORE. As confusing as things are the masses are looking for something, anything to be pointed in a particular direction. The slightest hint of a recommendation from Brown, Beyer, DRF, Finger, Greenie, etc is likely to send the masses running to the windows like the Pits in the CBOT after a strong Jobs Report. The minions will be more "clueless" than ever this year. Who knows maybe some people will actually come and read this Board for help. That's a scary thought.
LOL