The thing with Big Brown was that he had foot problems that prevented him from training. Even in the FL Derby his hoof wasn't all the way there. But it held up and it was all the way healed heading into KY Derby, for which he trained lights out. So it was logical to assume that he may move forward, and he already laid over that field anyway.

Expecting a good discussion of patterns after the TG sheets come out today. But I think when analyzing these patterns it is important to find out as much as you can about that individual horse to try and put those patterns into context. For example, Danzig Moon was not 100% in the Tampa Derby as they found out after the race he had an infection. He was treated for it, had time to recover, began to train forwardly and then moved forward in the Blue Grass. If you don't take that into account you may read his sheet as likely to bounce in the next. But the Bluegrass effort may have only been the tip of the ice berg and that effort may have set him up to move forward now.

One to watch closely at least IMO. My understanding is he's quite a handful in the barn right now and has a bit of nasty in him.