Tencendur? To Win? To Finish? To Compete?

Isn't he the horse that jumped up 4 pts in the Wood for a cumulative 9 pts of 3 y/o development in 90 days then bounced only 15 points in the Kentucky Derby.

Now the ROTW analysis says on his best he is fastest in the field. Well he just ran his worst six weeks ago and it is not reasonable to me that he will just bounce back to a competitive performance. Then to compound the situation with a sloppy track. My contention being off tracks accentuate a horses condition.

Wow and @ 8/1 morning line. I appreciate the logic that the fastest horse is most likely to win. The magnitude of the bounce can be discounted because it was the Derby and his effort was a non effort. So two and 1/2 months to recover from from the Wood and hoping he's back to the horse he was then and if he is and none of the others improve voila! ROTW's chosen to educate I read recently. Interesting read even estimating a 20% win probability he's an overlay

I don't love the race yet surprisingly I do agree with the analysis he offers the most maybe the only value on the m/l.