Kentucky Derby (861 Views)
Posted by:
cozzene (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2004 09:23AM
Gentlemen
Theory or Anti-Theory:
Rest is good.
Horses that run substantial new tops bounce.
Look for value and odds.
Is the Kentucky Derby different?
Read The Footnotes is rested, fast, comes in off an excusable non-effort and will be about 15-1.
The way I see it Lion Heart is nothing more than an odds play at 8-1, Smarty Jones and The Cliff's Edge offer no value at 5-1, and if Tapit is the 2nd or 3rd betting choice, he also offers no value.
The real question becomes how to fill out you exotics.
Your comments are welcome.
Thank You
cozzene
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