Re: Travers Stakes Pick 4 (744 Views)
Posted by:
richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: August 29, 2015 09:45AM
Frank:
Just like you have been, I've been looking over the stakes part of the Travers
card since Wednesday. Having said that, I wish my conclusions were a bit more
imaginative or inventive.
Let me start by saying that if you strongly endorse the "pair of deuces" finish
to the P4 ending with the Travers -- the "deuces" being Flintshire and AP --
the play might be to jump in the P6 pool.
With regards to the "deuces", the way I look at the Sword Dancer is that we
usually lament the fact that second string Euros regularly ship and whip our
top NA turfers; here is a case where a top Euro comes in to face a field of
arguably not top tier North Americans. Fabre, Juddmonte, likely off at 4/5.
In the Travers, I am still surprised AP is here, but here he is. My feeling
that he will take the Travers has a lot to do with respect for him, but also
not being sold on two of his main competitors, Texas Red (an equine ground
loss machine) (2w,3w in a 4 horse Jim Dandy) and Frosted, who is using all of
these top 3YO races to prep for the big race on the track he loves (AQ,NYRA
Mile).
AP is obviously a special talent and a win here while something less than 100%
cranked a distinct possibility. My assertive opinion is that AP is so mentally
and physically sound right now that he could take The Travers and train up to
the BC.
My only other strong opinion in the sequence is that Holy Boss arguably enjoys
as big an edge over his competition in terms of TG #s and pattern as any
runner on the card not named AP, another possible P6 single.
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