Not entirely sure what you've written.

What I believe is that Keeneland fits AP like a glove and that's why the schedule was selected, but that may not matter at this juncture. I don't believe Baffert wanted a dance at Saratoga, not because the horse wasn't right, but because he knows it can be a demanding track. Parx was in his plans, not Saratoga.

I believe AP is less than 50 / 50 to ever run again. It's a shame but the Breeders and Owner are going to take the easy way out perhaps because all that remains is further maturing 3YO's and Older Horses. Another loss and maybe the Stud interest diminishes, (Especially if its a loss to Keen Ice), or maybe he gets broken.

I think the barn has to know they had some gift races. The Derby was a test, but then it was 3 gifts in a row.

I'll be saddened because only one thing validates good opinion and that's collecting against an odds on horse at the "window" and with AP I haven't yet accomplished that.

He's a good horse. He's a Triple Crown winner, the first in 30 odd years. You've got to have some luck to win the Triple Crown and he certainly did and I think his camp knows it.

bellsbendboy Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> AP shows up well enough. A lot of traveling,
> accomplishment and a huge fan base precedes his
> Spa arrival. He catches a pace less crowd most of
> them outclassed and well handled previously; some
> repeatedly, and does not win at 35 cents on the
> dollar.
>
> For my two cents, the lip chain to the pony, the
> dead rail theory and for the pace theorists using
> the "comfortable" half mile time is void of merit.
> [color=#CC0000]Perhaps one percent of horses enjoy the trip the
> PON sophomore colt got and none of them have run
> an internal split in 1:10 and change, in G1
> packing big weight!
[/color]>
> Was it a kamikaze ride by the boy? You betcha!
> No greater worldwide archrival's than the
> connections, and the F. L. Bailey comments from
> the normally cogent, straight forward conditioner
> were as defensive as an Irishman rolling up his
> sleeves in a Dublin pub!
>
> [color=#CC0000]Not to knock the winner but he is fifty-fifty to
> ever win again.
[/color]>
> Baffert enjoying this one and hope he can piece
> this puzzle together and get AP to Keeneland, get
> the the ridiculous insurance premium paid [color=#CC0000]and
> resist another offer to retire "now" from
> Coolmore. Training up to the race has its
> pitfalls but this one has not worked in company in
> months, has a brilliant gate and a great mind and
> perhaps we have not seen his best;yet![/color] bbb