Re: ROTW (618 Views)
Posted by:
jbelfior (IP Logged)
Date: September 18, 2015 10:51AM
Tavasco Wrote:
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> I like several numbers in this race and in order
> of appreciation.
>
> a. 20 twenty to one is the m/l price of War Story.
> My argument is subjective, Although he won his
> first two races, I make him a late developer and I
> saw his finish in the WVD a similar tip off as was
> Keen Ice's Haskell finish I see him as improving
> plus a new trainer not unfamiliar with "move up"
> venues.
>
> b. 2 War Story has beaten Keen Ice twice and was
> liked by many early from this years discounted FG
> crop. Completely irrelevant to math players but
> best I could come up with late night for #2.
>
> c. 3 this is his 3rd race off his KD clunker he
> consistently runs in the top 3 in large part
> because of his running style. He may not catch the
> winner or figure in the horizontals - hey,
> sometimes we have to take what we can get.
>
> I also consider Hollendorfer's decision to run
> Iron Fist back puzzling. IF made what looked to be
> a winning move @ Mnr and flattened out noticeable.
> After all he is one of a select few to have beaten
> American Pharoah. Yes meaningless, other than to
> tip much was expected of him early and he c/b
> another late developer. Alas, the
> Smith/Hollendorfer discount is deep.
War Story an interesting thought. I think you're better off concentrating the expected improvement in the 2 and 3 holes of your tri ticket---of course assuming a fair track.
Good Luck,
Joe B.
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